Markets… Always Forward, Never Straight

Markets… Always Forward, Never Straight

Higher Probability of FED Increase… and Markets Rise? Anyone looking at U.S. stock market performance for the last week might assume it was a pretty quiet week. They would be wrong. It was a very bouncy week. U.S. stock markets moved lower on Monday, rebounded...

US Economic Growth – Headwinds

US Economic Growth is facing headwinds. There are specific headwinds to US growth. There are cyclical forces (rising dollar and falling oil revenues that are causing problems today for US economic growth. But, perhaps more importantly, there are simple demographic...
Markets Sing a Mixed Melody

Markets Sing a Mixed Melody

You could have set the events of last week to music. Should they stay or should they go? Last week, the Bank of England (BOE), Britain’s central bank, inadvertently sent a memo describing how staffers should handle press inquiries about its confidential research into...

Oil Prices & The Commodity Cycle

Oil Prices as a lesson in Commodity Cycles. Late 2014 saw massive changes in energy prices as production in the US reached new records, global demand slowed, and OPEC (Saudi Arabia) decided against reducing production. We can use the volatility of energy prices as a...
December Giveth – January Taketh Away

December Giveth – January Taketh Away

December Giveth – January Taketh Away It’s true. January did not turn out to be the best month for U.S. stock markets. At the end of the month, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P 500) was down about 3.1 percent. Before you start listening to pithy...
Oil, FED, And ECB… Oh My!

Oil, FED, And ECB… Oh My!

Oil Drops, The FED Holds Steady, And The ECB Looks Towards Stimulus You may be enjoying the economic benefits of gas prices around two dollars a gallon, but last week investors were skeptical about the effect of low, low oil prices on companies’ performance during...
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